Gamble Football


Gamble Football

April 4th NFL news ... Gamble football is the place to get all the news and notes you need for successful football wagering.


Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Odds and Preview
2010-10-23

Ben Roethlisberger goes on the road for the first time this year as his 4-1 Steelers travel to Miami in search of their fifth straight win over the Dolphins. The Steelers vs. Dolphins point spread is currently Pittsburgh -3 points at Sportsbook.com.

Miami is coming off an overtime win at Green Bay, but the Fins are in for a different challenge this week. The Packers never tried to establish the run, allowing Miami to dominate the ball. Pittsburgh will run (131 rush YPG), and the Dolphins have been burned by good rushing teams, yielding 156 yards to the Vikings and 146 to the Jets.

In Week 17 last year, the Steelers won 30-24 in Miami behind three touchdown passes from Roethlisberger. In his season debut last week against the Browns, Roethlisberger was 16-of-27 for 257 yards with three touchdowns and one interception. Pittsburgh’s defense has been the strongest in the league, leading the NFL in scoring defense (12.0 PPG) and rushing defense (63.8 YPG). The Steelers have also forced 15 turnovers, which ties them for the league lead with Detroit.

Dating to last season, Miami has lost four straight SU & ATS at home. Its offense has also sputtered this year with 17.8 PPG (24th in NFL) and 348 total YPG (23rd in NFL). QB Chad Henne has a mere seven touchdowns in five games. Despite placing fourth in the league with 63 targets, WR Brandon Marshall only has one touchdown this season and just 12.6 yards per catch.

The teams have met four times since 2004, with Pittsburgh going 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. But this NFL betting trend from Sportsbook.com indicates that the Fins will finally beat Pittsburgh on Sunday.

Play Against - Any team (PITTSBURGH) - opportunistic team (2.5+ TO/game forced) against a team with <=1.25 TO/game forced, after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers. (24-4 over the last 10 seasons.) (85.7%, +19.6 units. Rating = 3*).<P>

After scanning some additional betting trends, the ‘over’ seems to hold value as well:

Play Over - Road teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (PITTSBURGH) - off 1 or more straight overs, with a good scoring defense - allowing 17 or less points/game. (34-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81%, +25.2 units. Rating = 4*).

MIAMI is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) versus excellent rushing defenses - allowing <=70 rushing yards/game since 1992. The average score was MIAMI 22.0, OPPONENT 25.5 - (Rating = 4*).

To check out all of the NFL Week 7 betting odds and to place your bets, head over to Sportsbook.com now.